Opinion polls

Newest first. The 7 May 2026 row is the election result.

A blank cell means the source didn't publish that party's figure in a form we could check. Smaller parties and others are left out, so rows don't add up to 100. The leading party in each row is in bold.

The regional list vote, newest first, with the 2021 election result at the bottom.

Ipsos asked 747 adults in Wales which issues would be very important to them when deciding how to vote in the Senedd election. They could choose as many as they liked, so the figures add up to more than 100. The survey ran from 2 to 8 April 2026.

1. The NHS74%
2. The cost of living67%
3. The UK economy50%
4. The condition of streets, roads and pavements48%
5. Jobs and wages46%
6. Immigration and asylum seekers42%
7. Crime and policing40%
8. Poverty and inequality40%
9. Housing39%
10. Education and schools39%
11. Levels of taxation37%
12. Public transport37%
13. Shops and the local town centre or high street37%
14. Lack of trust or faith in politics33%
15. Welfare and benefits32%
16. Climate change and policies to deal with it30%
17. Brexit and Britain's future relationship with the EU30%
18. The conflict in the Middle East24%
19. Facilities and activities for teenagers and young people24%
20. The constitutional future of Wales or Welsh independence23%
21. The war in Ukraine17%
22. The level of traffic congestion15%
23. Something else2%

Ipsos's published results

• We list a poll only when we could check its figures against the pollster's own tables or release, the client's release, or a news report of the release. Polls we could not check are left out.
• An MRP model estimates the result in every constituency from a large sample. Its all-Wales figures are the model's central estimate, and we give no sample size unless the pollster published an exact one.
• Election results are shares of the valid votes cast. The 2021 result appears twice: the regional list vote with the list polls and the constituency vote with the constituency figures.
• Every row links to the source we checked it against.