Written question WQ99659

The relevant data is available at Stats Wales.

Across Wales, the data shows a mixed picture. In certain areas, there is surplus capacity within the school system, including in some Welsh-medium settings. The picture is influenced by falling birth rates, demographic change and population shifts across local authorities and therefore requires careful interpretation. In some cases, surplus capacity also reflects newly established or expanding schools that are still building up year groups over time.

A proportion of this capacity is planned into the system as per Welsh Government guidance, providing flexibility to respond to changing patterns of demand, and amongst other matters, supporting the continued growth of Welsh-medium education.

We are currently undertaking a rapid review of Welsh in Education Strategic Plans (WESPs) as part of this Government’s 100-day commitments, which will include impact of demand, surplus capacity and pressure on school places in different areas. This will help us identify opportunities to strengthen Welsh-medium provision, inform immediate policy decisions, and shape the development of the new National Framework for Welsh Language Learning and Learning Welsh made under the Welsh Language and Education (Wales) Act 2025, which we intend to consult on in the autumn term.