Diolch, yes. So, this is a long-standing and intractable problem, and it goes right back to the beginning of the NHS, or indeed even before the NHS, and it’s a problem in all major health systems, not just in the UK, and I think, really briefly, there are five reasons for that.
First of all, when it comes to leaving hospital, for some people, there are competing notions of good practice. So, we have an acute hospital model, which is basically around volume and throughput, trying to get as many people as possible in, treating them, getting them well again, and then getting them out, so that we can get new people in who need the services even more. It’s a throughput model versus a social care in the community model, which is based around empowerment, about choice and control, about making long-term decisions that will affect the rest of your life, potentially. And at the point of discharge, there are competing policy and practice priorities, and there are two notions of good practice, neither of which are wrong, they're just kind of incompatible with each other and constantly bounce off each other, a sort of throughput versus an empowerment model.
Secondly, we often focus on hospitals, and we have quite a hospital-centric approach, and we tend to see success as freeing up beds. That’s really important, particularly when services are under pressure, but it leads to a different approach than if you ask, ‘Well, how do we keep people healthy and well in their homes and their communities, and how do we help people get back there and to be the best that they can be if they do have to have a brief spell in hospital?’ It’s a different kind of question and a different kind of notion of what success would look like. And focusing on hospitals too, I think, also leads to it being seen as a discharge where the hospital is discharging somebody and then its responsibility ends, rather than it being an ongoing transfer where everybody has a role to play, as John was describing.
Third, I think because of the pressure on services, we tend to focus on discharge, and maybe we don’t focus enough on the risks of premature discharge or poorly co-ordinated discharge, on tackling some of the relatively short-term delays within hospital. And we focus less on admission avoidance in the first place, more on getting people out the other side than we do on stopping people going in in the first place.
Fourth, particularly at the moment, there are just major issues of capacity, so even minor delays in some of our processes can cause some of our systems to break down and to back up. A head of operations in a hospital described it to me as being a bit like a motorway on a bank holiday, when there's too much traffic on the motorway, and you just need a bit of debris or roadwork, or even just people coming on and off at a junction, and the whole thing grinds to a halt for no reason that you can quite put your finger on if you're in the car. And then, suddenly, after you've been waiting for a bit, it just starts up again, again for no reason, and there's just too much capacity trying to use too little service. So, it can go awry really quickly.